perception is the product transition
facebook once had a product called workplace.
it was basically facebook’s slack competitor, & it was actually really good. but it failed & got shut down. the problem wasn’t resources. facebook had infinite distribution, talent, infra, brand awareness, etc.
the problem was perception.
people understood facebook as a place to hang out, post photos, scroll, message friends, & participate in social life. they did not understand it as a place to do work. the product may have been good, but the cultural meaning of the brand fought the use case.
chatgpt may face a version of this.
openai can absolutely execute the product transition from chatbot to agent. the team is obviously talented enough. but the harder challenge is moving user perception from “this is where i ask ai questions” to “this is where i connect my calendar, email, files, finances, photos, workflows, preferences, & let it actually do things for me.”
that is a very different psychological contract.
the agentic era asks users to move from prompting a tool to delegating parts of their life. & that means the interface is only half the problem. the other half is narrative, packaging, permissioning, & making the transition feel inevitable instead of creepy.
it’ll be interesting to see if ppl wanna connect stuff to chatgpt? it makes sense for codex for work etc. maybe.
also most of agent stuff is productivity related today, & normal ppl outside of work don’t optimize for productivity, they want to feel stuff, delight, entertainment, etc. that’s also a very diff product too.
800m users is a gift but also transitioning ppl is hard as fuck esp when you have metrics to not tank & esp now that there are ads.